Samba Queens dance all over China

Soccer Betting Lines

09/15/2007 - Wuhan, China (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Marta and Christiane each scored two goals as Brazil rolled to a 4-0 win over China on Saturday, its second impressive win in the World Cup.

Brazil defeated New Zealand 5-0 in its opener and with the win over China sits all alone atop Group D. The Brazilians are the only team with two victories in their first two games.

With the large goal differential, the Brazilians have essentially locked up a spot in the quarterfinals. Brazil has advanced to the quarterfinals of the last two World Cups, finishing fourth in 1999.

Marta has four goals in two games to lead the race for the Golden Shoe, given to the tournament's top scorer. Christiane is one goal back in a pack of five players with three goals.

Brazil (2-0-0) wraps up group play on Wednesday against Denmark. China (1-1-0) will try to bounce back from its first-ever loss in the group stage and worst Cup loss in history against New Zealand on Wednesday.

The pace of the game was fast from the opening whistle as Brazil's Christiane got in the box just 30 seconds in, but couldn't get any pace on her shot with a defender on her back. China goalie Wenxia Han handled the shot easily.

China's first great chance wasn't until the 16th minute but it was just inches from taking the lead when a ball smashed off the top of the crossbar.

China nearly found the back of the net in the 26th minute as well when Xiaoli Song, who scored the game winner in a 3-2 win over Denmark, unleashed a blast from 10 yards. Brazil goalie Andreia deflected the shot wide of the post.

Han made an equally impressive save for China in the 33rd minute, diving to her right to keep Formiga's shot out of the upper left corner.

After all the missed chances, Marta's spectacular individual effort led to the first goal of the match in the 42nd minute. On a long ball played over China's defense, Marta beat a charging Han to the ball 10 yards outside the box.

The reigning FIFA Player of the Year made a soft touch on the ball with her right foot to knock it past Han, then scored into the open net with her left foot.

Just like Brazil's opener, it started to open up its game late in the first half and exploded in the second half. Brazil also led New Zealand 1-0 at half.

Just two minutes into the second half Christiane got in one-on-one on Han and slotted a left-footed shot into the lower left corner for her second goal of the tournament.

A minute later, Christiane scored again as she received a pass from Marta on the right side of the box and just had to tap the ball into an open net.

Marta nearly got her second goal of the game in the 50th minute, but her shot hit the right post, bounced off Han and then the post again before being covered up.

The world's best player wouldn't be denied again in the 67th minute, losing two defenders on the right side of the box to get open before sending a shot off a defender and into the right side of the net.

Marta, who had three goals in the 2003 World Cup when she was 17, has seven career goals in six games spanning the last two tournaments.

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Horse Betting

(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).

The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.

"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."

Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.

"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."

When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:

CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.

DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.

PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.

You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.

"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."

Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.

(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)

Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."

But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."

Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."

Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."

All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.

In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.

"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."

To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.